Saturday, June 02, 2012


Obviously the jobs report came in significantly below the forecast. Because these numbers are mostly make-believe anyway I won't go into them in-depth. The number of jobs BLS wants us to believe were created in May was 69,000 vs. the expectation of 150,000. Even more troubling was the big downward revision in April. But what really should be people upsetting people is the treasury bond market. The yield on the 10-yr Treasury is at a record all-time low and the yield on the 30-yr Treasury  is below it's lowest point during the Lehman crisis. That's is a huge sign post I feel people in the media are either not seeing or purposely not talking about.

Essentially what this means is that all liquidity is being sucked out of the global financial engine and it's going into Treasuries and precious metals. I suspect today's big move in both reflects the expectation that we may get a heavy dose of QE3 in some form - likely not an obvious, overt form - at the June FOMC meeting. Uncle Ben will do his best to inject as much money into the system but disguise it in a way that the public will accept as nothing more than some temporary line of credit.


Recent breakdown was on heavy volume if you look at all the major sector ETFs they also sold off on heavy volume, it appears as if we are headed for the 200 week moving average which is the grand daddy of them all if that breaks look out. On the daily chart we can see the double white line that correspond to strong support on or around the 200 wk ma. The VIX broke out and it will probably top out in the 40's by the time Big Ben announces printing presses are ready to roll. 



Friday, June 01, 2012

Thursday, May 31, 2012




 Market indicators mixed MSI bottoming and the MO with room to fall.

dollar is breaking out MACD is at the high point smelling a short term reversal at least 81 and change Euro still has a ways to go my previous target was 120


 Gold and silver both look like they are going to break down still at strong support and the MACD trying to turn positive. I don't see how with out any announcement of QE it will move upwards, even though the money supply.